My 2025 Predictions (in Tech): Grok 3.0 Reaches IQ of 140+, Humanoid Robot Population Hits 1,000, Epigenetic Reprogramming Reaches Human Trials, Bitcoin Surges to $250,000 per Coin, Lightweight AR Glasses Become Reality, AI Assistants (Siri & Alexa) Stop Sucking!
Making predictions is tough, but let’s give it a try. This is what I expect we will see in 2025…
#1. Grok 3.0 Reaches IQ of 140+
xAI was founded in 2024, rapidly raising a $6 billion seed round. Then it built the Colossus cluster – the world's most powerful AI training system with 100,000 liquid-cooled Nvidia H100 GPUs. Then the company raised a follow-on $5 billion round and announced plans to double again (150,000 H100 + 50,000 H200 GPUs).
Grok 3.0 is poised to redefine the AI landscape in 2025. While OpenAI's breakthrough o1 model recently achieved a remarkable 120 IQ on the Norway Mensa test, I’m predicting we’ll see Grok 3.0 smash this with an IQ exceeding 140.
As Elon boldly declared, "Grok 3.0 will be the most powerful A.I. in the world," and given his track record of disrupting industries from rockets to electric vehicles, as I’ve said before, I would never bet against him.
#2. Starship Demonstrates Full Reusability
2025 is set to witness the first-ever capture of both the Super Heavy Booster and Starship, marking the dawn of the first fully reusable orbital spaceship.
SpaceX will be launching more than 150 Falcon 9 vehicles in 2025 and is planning an ambitious 24 Starship test flights in 2025. Starship delivers 250% the thrust of Saturn V that took us to the Moon.
By way of comparison, the Saturn V would cost ~$1.4 billion in 2022 dollars per launch, while the Space Shuttle would cost ~$1.5 billion in 2022 dollars. Incredibly, once Starship is fully reusable, it’s expected to cost just $2 million per launch – 1,000x cheaper!
#3. Trump Announces “Boots on Mars by 2030”
In a dramatic acceleration of NASA's 2040 timeline, I believe the Trump White House will issue an audacious challenge in 2025: putting boots on Mars before the end of the year 2030. The announcement will echo the 1961 proclamation of President John F. Kennedy challenging America to land humans on the Moon by 1969.
But here's the twist – those first boots on Mars won't be human, they'll likely be robotic, specifically a few Optimus humanoid robots.
Towards this end, on September 7, 2024, SpaceX announced that it would launch the first uncrewed Starship missions to Mars in two years, aligning with the next Earth-Mars transfer window.
#4. Scientists “Upload” 1 Million Neurons of a Honey Bee
Earlier this year, researchers at Howard Hughes Medical Institute used AI to accurately map all 140,000 neurons and 54.5 million synapses in a fruit fly's brain creating an accurate computer “upload” of that organism.
In 2025, the world will witness another neural cartography breakthrough as this technology is used to 10x brain mapping, uploading the brain of a honey bee (960,000 neurons).
In parallel, researchers like Dr. Hongkui Zeng at the Allen Institute are already setting their sights on a mouse brain (with 1,000 times more neurons than a fruit fly). As Dr. Zeng emphasized, "We can't wait 10,000 years" – and with the convergence of AI precision we won't have to.
#5. Humanoid Robot Population Hits 1,000
The global humanoid robot population will surpass 1,000 units next year, marking the beginning of an exponential growth curve that will take us to 10 billion robots by 2040.
With both Optimus (Tesla) and Figure (Figure AI) targeting a $30,000 price point for each robot, this translates to a monthly lease price of $300 or $10 per day or $0.40 per hour. And with such technology in place, we are seeing the beginning of what Elon calls "a future of abundance."
The timing couldn't be more critical – with nearly 8 million U.S. job openings in Q3 2024 and a projected 25% "dependency ratio" of people over 70 by 2030, humanoid robots are emerging as a crucial solution to global labor shortages. |
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#6. Epigenetic Reprogramming Reaches Human Trials
Next year, we'll reach a historic milestone in longevity science as Life Biosciences launches the first human clinical trials of cellular rejuvenation through partial epigenetic reprogramming.
The company’s groundbreaking gene therapy, ER-100, represents the convergence of three revolutionary Yamanaka factors that effectively "reset" cellular age.
While Life Biosceinces targets optic neuropathies, this is just the beginning…
With NewLimit's innovative T-cell restoration approach backed by Coinbase's Brian Armstrong, and Retro Bio's ambitious goal to add 10 years to human lifespan, we're entering an era where aging becomes programmable.
By manipulating the epigenome—the "software" controlling our genetic hardware—we're unlocking the potential to reverse not just disease, but aging itself.
#7. Bitcoin Surges to $250,000 per Coin
Bitcoin will shatter records, surging to the $250,000 barrier, as hundreds of companies adopt what we might call "The Saylor Strategy" or “the Bitcoin Standard” – converting their balance sheets to Bitcoin.
The catalysts are perfectly aligned: the 2024 Bitcoin halving reducing supply, record-breaking ETF inflows creating unprecedented demand, and President-elect Trump's proposed 1-million-Bitcoin strategic reserve potentially transforming U.S. monetary policy.
As Saylor has pointed out, Bitcoin's surge past $100,000 emphatically confirms its status as an institutional-grade asset embraced by the world's wealth and power.
#8. The Year that Gen-IV Nuclear Power Takes Off
In 2025, we'll see an unprecedented wave of Gen-IV nuclear power plant announcements worldwide as governments and tech giants race to meet AI's staggering energy demands.
Goldman Sachs projects a 160% surge in data center electricity consumption by 2030, and Big Tech is responding dramatically.
Following Google's groundbreaking deal with Kairos Power for small module reactors (SMRs), Amazon's investment in four nuclear reactors, and Meta's bold plan for 4GW of nuclear capacity, hundreds of next-generation plants will be announced globally.
#9. Lightweight AR Glasses Become Reality
We’ll experience the arrival of the first consumer-ready lightweight AR glasses weighing less than 50 grams – signaling the emergence of truly wearable computing.
Meta's Orion glasses are leading the charge with their groundbreaking 70-degree field of view and neural wristband control system, while Apple's long-rumored glasses, building on Vision Pro's technology, are poised to leverage their advanced metalens production and eye-tracking capabilities.
Both promise to seamlessly overlay digital information onto our physical world, from real-time navigation to instant message displays.
#10. AI Assistants (Siri & Alexa) Stop Sucking!
Siri and Alexa will finally stop sucking, transforming from frustrating digital butlers into genuinely intelligent assistants. Amazon's next-gen Alexa, powered by Anthropic, will be deployed across half a billion devices which will stop delivering the same old “jokes” and “fun facts” and branch out.
Meanwhile, Apple's "Siri 2.0," powered by Apple Intelligence, will revolutionize how we interact with our devices, offering seamless cross-app functionality and truly conversational interactions.
In this 2025 future, Siri will stop spelling my name “Pieter,” and will take the time to check who I’m actually texting when spelling their name... So, when I’m texting my friend “Marc” it will stop spelling his name “Mark.” (One can only hope!)
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