조 바이든이나 도널드 트럼프나 임기 3년차 지지율이 역대 최하위권에 속한다는 것은 미국 대선이, 또 미국인들의 정치 성향이 역대 최악으로 분열되었다는 것; 흥미로운 것은, 데이비드 록펠러가 전폭적으로 밀어주었던 지미 카터의 지지율이 모든 미국 대통령을 통틀어 역대 최악; 왜 록펠러가 부시 가문으로 말을 갈아탔는지 알만하다
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/us-president-approval-ratings-third-year-biden/
Politics
U.S. President Approval Ratings in Their Third Year (1955-2023)
See this visualization first on the Voronoi app.
Biden’s Approval Rating Compared to Other Presidents
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President Biden’s approval rating is the second lowest in modern history for a first-term president.
Today, under 40% of Americans approve of his job performance, a level it has hovered around over the last year. According to recent polls, younger Democrats have a lower approval rating of Biden’s handling of the economy compared to older Democrats. Leading up to the election in 2024, the state of the economy is the most important issue among Americans.
This graphic shows approval ratings for first-term U.S. presidents in their third year—and whether or not they were re-elected—based on data from Gallup.
First-Term Presidential Approval Ratings, Ranked
Here’s how Biden’s approval rating in year three stacks up against past U.S. presidents:
President | Third Year | Average Approval Rating | Re-elected? |
---|---|---|---|
Eisenhower | 1955-1956 | 72.1 | Yes |
G.H.W. Bush | 1991-1992 | 69.5 | No |
Kennedy | 1963* | 61.8 | No |
G.W. Bush | 2003-2004 | 59.6 | Yes |
Nixon | 1971-1972 | 49.6 | Yes |
Clinton | 1995-1996 | 47.5 | Yes |
Reagan | 1983-1984 | 44.9 | Yes |
Obama | 2011-2012 | 44.5 | Yes |
Trump | 2019-2020 | 42.0 | No |
Biden | 2023-2024 | 39.8 | – |
Carter | 1978-1980 | 37.4 | No |
Average annual approval ratings from January 20 through to January 19 in the following year. *Approval ratings for Kennedy are from January 20-November 22 1963 due to assassination.
We can see that Biden falls near the bottom, with President Carter being the only president to have lower ratings in their third year.
Biden’s political standing has fallen from a peak of 63% in 2021 given concerns of rising costs and the state of his fitness. The Israel-Hamas war is also weighing on his ratings, with younger Democrats criticizing his handling of the crisis.
While Biden struggles to achieve majority approval, economic indicators have been optimistic. The unemployment rate remains low, GDP growth is strong, and the S&P 500 recently hit record highs. Despite this, Americans are paying attention to the cost of basic goods, which have grown more expensive in the last few years.
The U.S is among the most polarized countries globally, stemming from low trust in the media, economic anxieties, and low trust in the government. As a Biden-Trump rematch looks increasingly likely, political success hinges on who will align most with voter concerns, and whether disaffected Democrats will elect Biden for a second term.
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